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  • Ethan Semendinger

2022 Trade Deadline Values:

Hader is a Padre, the Yankees got Effross, Ohtani is off the table. Also, BaseballTradeValues.com has updated their values for every player.

 

Yankees Potential Targets:


The Empty The Farm Long-Shots:

  • Juan Soto (OF, Washington Nationals): +165.6 MTV

  • Shohei Ohtani (RHP/DH, Los Angeles Angels): +109.7 MTV

We've talked extensively about Juan Soto since before the All-Star Break when it became a real possibility that he could be moved away from the Washington Nationals. At the current moment, however, the Yankees are not rumored to be in the final-3 teams of contention (San Diego Padres, St. Louis Cardinals, and Los Angeles Dodgers).


Shohei Ohtani has also emerged as another potential target, but he'd be more expensive to trade for than he is worth for the New York Yankees. His value as a two-way player would be a constant work-around as the DH role is filled between Giancarlo Stanton and resting everyday players. A great player who I'd love to have around, but he just doesn't fit the Yankees with their current roster construction.


We discussed Soto vs. Ohtani last Friday in an article you can find, here.


UPDATE: As of the writing of this post, the Angels have declared Shohei Ohtani "off the market" for the 2022 Trade Deadline. Jon Heyman tweet here.

 

The Starting Pitcher Market:

  • Frankie Montas (RHP, Oakland Athletics): +28.1 MTV

  • Tyler Mahle (RHP, Cincinnati Reds): +22.9 MTV

  • Carlos Rodon (LHP, San Francisco Giants): +13.0 MTV

  • Noah Syndergaard (RHP, Los Angeles Angels): +4.7 MTV

  • Jose Quintana (LHP, Pittsburgh Pirates): +2.5 MTV

  • ---

  • Tarik Skubal (LHP, Detroit Tigers): +54.8 MTV

  • Pablo Lopez (RHP, Miami Marlins): +49.0 MTV

  • Zach Plesac (RHP, Cleveland Guardians): +9.0 MTV

  • Paul Blackburn (RHP, Oakland Athletics): +5.4 MTV

  • Martin Perez (LHP, Texas Rangers): +3.7 MTV

The Seattle Mariners trading for Luis Castillo set up the starting pitching market, and they did so in a major way. By sending a Top-25 prospect (Noelvi Marte), another Top-100 prospect (Edwin Arroyo), a Top-20 team prospect (Levi Stoudt), and a throw-in piece (Andrew Moore), it encouraged more teams to consider selling while trying to get back similar large returns. It's a bit of a catch-22 as the more teams willing to sell (supply) goes up the teams willing to buy (demand) falls, which should theoretically drive down prices.


The New York Yankees have been rumored to be interested in each of the 5 pitchers on the top of the list, though some names are definitely more interesting than others. Frankie Montas is the most valuable pitcher on the list with good numbers on the year (3.18 ERA, 1.7 bWAR/2.0 fWAR) and an extra year of control. Along with Montas, Tyler Mahle (4.40 ERA, +2.1 bWAR/+2.1 fWAR) also comes with an extra year of control. You may be thinking, "so does Carlos Rodon", but he has an opt-out after this year (on a $22 Million deal) and with the year he is having (3.00 ERA, +3.6 bWAR/+4.2 fWAR), he likely will. Noah Syndergaard (3.83 ERA, +1.3 bWAR/+1.2 fWAR) and Jose Quintana (3.50 ERA, +2.0 bWAR/+2.1 fWAR) would be fine extra pieces/6th men to support the rotation going into the rotation, but neither should be the "move".

 

The Relief Pitching Market:

  • David Robertson (RHP, Chicago Cubs): +2.5 MTV

  • Michael Fulmer (RHP, Detroit Tigers): +2.4 MTV

  • Matt Moore (LHP, Texas Rangers): +0.7 MTV

  • ---

  • Anthony Bass (RHP, Miami Marlins): +1.4 MTV

As I was writing this article, the Yankees had agreed to terms with the Chicago Cubs on a deal for right-handed reliever Scott Effross. The Yankees have sent back right-handed pitching prospect Hayden Wesneski (their #7 prospect by the MLB Pipeline). Effross is a new reliever having an elite year that also comes with 5 (!) years of control. It's a very smart now and long-term move for the bullpen. Here is the Ken Rosenthal tweet with the trade details.


Another important deal that occurred during the writing of this post: Josh Hader has been traded to the San Diego Padres. He was a long-time Yankees target, but got moved in a significant deal. Jeff Passan has the details in his tweet, here.


However, with a bullpen that has been ravaged by injuries and could always use an upgrade, there are other options that the Yankees have been linked with. I am personally trying to push the "David Robertson Third Reunion Tour" given his great year (2.23 ERA, 14 Saves) after nearly falling out of the MLB over the past few years. Michael Fulmer (2.77 ERA, 2 Saves) used to be a target for the Yankees rotation but after a few rough years has transitioned well into a relief role. Matt Moore (1.66 ERA, 2 Saves) is another target for a rental reliever in the midst of a career year after nearly falling out of the MLB- a la David Robertson.



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