top of page
file.jpg
  • Writer's pictureEthan Semendinger

Left Field Trades: Bryan Reynolds

The Yankees have at least one player set for each position next year but left field. Is there a player out there to trade for?

 

The Background on Bryan Reynolds:

Born in Baltimore, Maryland, Bryan Reynolds and his family moved to Tennessee while he was a kid, which led him to attending Brentwood High School (Brentwood, TN). While there, he garnered the attention of Division I scouts and accepted an offer to play for Vanderbilt University. He wasn't drafted out of high school and being underrated would forever follow Reynolds during his career.


While at college, Reynolds immediately became an integral part of the team, helping them win the college World Series as a freshman and continuing to improve his game over his sophomore and junior years. This helped him become a 2nd Round (59th Overall) draft pick by the San Francisco Giants as part of the 2016 MLB Draft. A supposed "first round talent", as said by San Francisco representatives after the face, it's clear that nobody saw him that way as he dropped well into the 2nd round. The San Francisco Giants would only hold on to Reynolds through the end of 2016 and the 2017 season before moving on from him to acquire Andrew McCutchen ahead of the 2018 season. Reynolds was mostly just a throw-in halfway decent outfield prospect when pundits talked about the trade.


After joining the Pittsburgh Pirates organization, Reynolds would spend the 2018 season (ended early after needing hand surgery) and the early part of the 2019 season in the minor leagues before earning a call-up to the MLB for a debut on April 20th. From then on, Reynolds would be an MLB player. That first season, Reynolds would finish 4th in the National League Rookie of the Year vote, and then a horrible 2020 COVID season happened before he became an All-Star and finished 11th in NL MVP voting in 2021. Heading into this past season, Reynolds signed a 2-year deal with the Pirates worth $13.5 Million through the 2023 season. After this, he still has his Arbitration 2 and 3 years still to come with team control through the 2025 season.

 

The Stats on Bryan Reynolds:

Bryan Reynolds has spent parts of 4 seasons (2019-2022) with the Pittsburgh Pirates while playing 493 games. During this time, he has hit to a combined .281/.361/.481/.842 quadruple slash (127 OPS+) with 500 hits, 74 home runs, 189 extra base hits, 239 RBI's, 16 stolen bases (8 times caught) and 198 walks to 438 strikeouts. This has led him to accumulate +13.6 bWAR and +12.5 fWAR.

 

Creating a Trade Proposal for Bryan Reynolds:

One of the best things about looking at trades is trying to theory-craft different ideas for how a player could come over to the Yankees. Now, I am by no means an expert at this and if we want to adapt an old saying from the best in the business: "Your Trade Proposal isn't Very Good". That applies to me as much as it does to you. This doesn't mean that we can't have fun attempting to come up with a general trading principle, but it serves as a reminder that there is a reason none of us are running a major league franchise.


For Bryan Reynolds, his value (according to BaseballTradeValues.com) comes out at +59.9 MTV. (MTV means Millions [of dollars] of Trade Value.) That value is calculated to figure out how valuable he will be on his current contract, plus future control. As he's under control for the next 3 seasons and he'll be getting paid just $6.5 Million in 2023 and have an arbitration salary for 2024 and 2025, his value is very very good. He also does not have a no trade proposal to work around, though as the best player on the Pittsburgh Pirates, it would not be an easy task to get him to New York.


It's also been stated in the news that the Pirates are asking for a teams top 3 prospects in a trade for Reynolds (this rumor comes from this Ken Rosenthal article. Note: sub. req.). This came after Reynolds publicly came forward and requested for the Pirates to trade him.


Now, the top 3 Yankees prospects- Anthony Volpe (+50 MTV), Jasson Dominguez (+26.5 MTV), and Oswald Peraza (+27.8 MTV)- collectively are worth +104.3 MTV and far exceed Reynolds' value of +59.9 MTV.


Now, this doesn't mean a trade isn't possible. What I am thinking is that the Pirates have that "3 top prospect" offer in order to get the best from teams that have poor farm systems. However, if a team like the Orioles- whose Top 3 prospects are all within the Top-15 prospects in baseball- were interested that would obviously differ from the Chicago White Sox- whose Top prospect is ranked #57 and has just one other in the Top-100, being ranked #95. Obviously, there would be two very very different offers coming from those teams. Thus, I think we can play around with the "top 3 prospects" ask.


The Pittsburgh Pirates, if trading away Bryan Reynolds are going to want something good. That means at least one of the Yankees top prospects. For the sake of this experiment, we're going to say that the Yankees are willing to send Anthony Volpe as their big prospect to the Pirates as that token prospect. His +50 MTV and his status as a Top 5 prospect in the MLB carries a lot of weight in this trade.


However, Volpe alone would not be worth it for the Pirates. Thus, the Yankees follow up with asking for reliever David Bednar (+21.9 MTV). Just this afternoon, Hal Steinbrenner talked about how the team wasn't quite done and they were going to continue looking at the relief market. Getting back Bednar in this deal would also help corroborate those rumors that the Yankees were set to do something huge in the days leading to them signing Carlos Rodon.


So, now a combination of Reynolds and Bednar brings the Pirates to a value of +81.8 MTV. The Yankees will need to find another 31.8 MTV (with Volpe) to make this deal work.


Next, we add Everson Periera and his +16.8 MTV. Ultimately, the Pirates are going to demand a top outfield prospect back as well. He's the Yankees #5 prospect and just under the Top 100. He also cuts that difference in half.


Then, we could go two different ways. The first option is to include Gleyber Torres and his +11.6 MTV. The Pirates could then flip him for other prospects or keep him around on a team that finished 25th (by fWAR) amongst second baseman last year. Why they would keep him if they are trading Reynolds could be to build more value as a trade deadline piece, but it's an option. Though, probably not plausible. With Torres however, the deal comes to the Yankees giving up +78.4 MTV, which is reasonably close. To finish the deal the Yankees could then add a mid-tier pitching prospect (like Yoendrys Gomez, +3.6 MTV) to finish the deal.


Or, we could consider the Pirates only want prospects. Then we'd add another Top 100 prospect in Austin Wells and his +8.3 MTV. Think of all the times the Pirates got an old Yankees catcher in recent history. This move lets them get ahead of that trend! And, with his lower value, the Yankees would then also have to add another Top-10 system prospect (like Will Warren, +4.6 MTV) to finish the deal.


The Pittsburgh Pirates Get: Anthony Volpe, Everson Periera, and Gleyber Torres/Gomez OR Austin Wells/Warren

The New York Yankees Get: Bryan Reynolds and David Bednar

 

Would I Do This?

I think the mark of a good trade is something that fans of both teams would not be a fan of. To me, the first move- as much as I think the Yankees should move on from Gleyber Torres- is the move that I am more hesitant on. I'd be perfectly okay trading a package of 4 prospects for two proven MLB players. Trading Gleyber Torres would be a bit harder for me to swallow.


And that's why I think I'd do the Gleyber Torres deal first and pivot to the Austin Wells deal if the first didn't hold. Gleyber Torres is just important enough to the Yankees- as they are constructed right now and with DJ LeMahieu's injury- that it'd take a blockbuster move to have him go. Trading him in this package with Volpe for Reynold and Bednar would be that blockbuster move.


The Yankees said they had a bombshell coming. The Yankees still need a left fielder. (More on this in a second.) The Yankees are on the record for wanting a better bullpen. This move would fit all three of those molds.


Now, some people may say that "Brian Cashman stated today that Aaron Hicks is the left fielder". Of course he did! Why wouldn't he? Aaron Hicks is still a member of the New York Yankees, he is still getting paid by them, and he's- at the moment- the scheduled left fielder for next year. Of course the general manager is going to talk up the players on his roster. AND ESPECIALLY those who he may be looking to trade. Think about it this way: a farmer selling carrots with ugly spots on them- regardless of if they change the taste or not- is not going to sell well showing those ugly spots. Instead, he'll highlight his good carrots and add a few of the ugly ones in when you buy a bundle. It's simple business. Don't talk down your product.


I can further support this with a quote by then-Yankee Bubba Crosby. He stated, as written by the New York Post in 2005- that, "I want to be an every-day player; that’s every kid’s dream. But I know in this organization things can change like the wind. I could be the starting center fielder and in two weeks somebody could be available". This was after Joe Torre publicly announced that Bubba was going to be the starting center fielder for the Yankees in 2006. This article came out on December 1st, 2005.


Just over a month later, on January 3rd, 2006, the Yankees signed Johnny Damon to a 4-Year/$52 Million deal. Needless to say, Crosby didn't start Opening Day as the center fielder.


All of that was a big tangent from my point, however. Ultimately, I think Bryan Reynolds would be a great get for the Yankees. He'd cost a lot, but especially if the Pirates were willing to really make the trade interesting by adding Bednar, I think the trade would be easy to make.

30 Comments


Cary Greene
Cary Greene
Dec 22, 2022

Folks, one thing that's not being considered here from a quick scan of comments is that the Pirates want pitching, not position players, for Reynolds. Last I looked, the Yankees system is devoid of pitching prospects. There is no way the Yankees and Pirates line up on this trade, sorry to say.

Like
Cary Greene
Cary Greene
Dec 23, 2022
Replying to

Well CP that would have been the play, had Cashman signed Tyler Anderson or a second starter, but now it looks like the Yankees are banking on Montas to be in the rotation. Trading Montas now means German or Schmidt is the fifth starter.


I wouldn't be opposed to giving Schmidt an opportnity, providing the team would be willing to be patient and work through his growing pains. One drawback to using Schmidt though is that he really hasn't been consistently built up to be a starter. The Yankees have tampered with his bread and butter and they even tried to turn him into a high-leverage one-inning type reliever at one point last season. He pitched a combined 70.1-innings (counting…


Like

etbkarate
Dec 22, 2022

A good player. Pittsburgh is over valuing him. He is not worth 3 top prospects, at this point in his career. I'd have to pass. They should have just signed Benintendi and saved all the prospects.

Like
Cary Greene
Cary Greene
Dec 23, 2022
Replying to

No argument from here, I said that in defeat, not to propose it's a good idea. I do have some good ideas though as I've been contemplating the position the Yankees are presently in. They've invested substantially but Steinbrenner has said the team still plans to add to the lineup and bolster the bullpen more. He was coy about spending or not spending though and he refused to comment on how much he's willing to spend, which to me points to poettial trades. Also, there's zilch left in free agency that represents an upgrade from Hicks, considering the Yankees would be on the hook for some or all of Hicks' salary as that equates to a massive spend for a…

Like

yankeerudy
Dec 22, 2022

The slash line and lefty bat are both attractive, but I'm concerned about acquiring another hitter that strikes out >25% of his at bats.

Like

jjw49
Dec 22, 2022

Yankees have traditionally overrated their prospects so who is closer to helping… my guess is Volpe so he isn’t included. Dominguez would be prospect along Pereria and Torres along with Abreu to Pirates.

Like

iamthecoach
Dec 22, 2022

I like the conforto route too. Only give up money for high risk high reward one year. Keep prospects and see who figured it out at ss move the other to a new position or flip for more players next year. Probably

Like
Cary Greene
Cary Greene
Dec 23, 2022
Replying to

One issue with Conforto is that its being reported that there are legit concerns about him not being able to make throws from the outfield.

Like
dr sem.png

Start Spreading the News is the place for some of the very best analysis and insight focusing primarily on the New York Yankees.

(Please note that we are not affiliated with the Yankees and that the news, perspectives, and ideas are entirely our own.)

blog+image+2.jpeg

Have a question for the Weekly Mailbag?

Click below or e-mail:

SSTNReaderMail@gmail.com

SSTN is proudly affiliated with Wilson Sporting Goods! Check out our press release here, and support us by using the affiliate links below:

587611.jpg
583250.jpg
Scattering the Ashes.jpeg

"Scattering The Ashes has all the feels. Paul Russell Semendinger's debut novel taps into every emotion. You'll laugh. You'll cry. You'll reexamine those relationships that give your life meaning." — Don Burke, writer at The New York Post

The Least Among Them.png

"This charming and meticulously researched book will remind you of baseball’s power to change and enrich lives far beyond the diamond."

—Jonathan Eig, New York Times best-selling author of Luckiest Man, Opening Day, and Ali: A Life

From Compton to the Bronx.jpg

"A young man from Compton rises to the highest levels of baseball greatness.

Considered one of the classiest baseball players ever, this is Roy White's story, but it's also the story of a unique period in baseball history when the Yankees fell from grace and regained glory and the country dealt with societal changes in many ways."

foco-yankees.png

We are excited to announce our new sponsorship with FOCO for all officially licensed goods!

FOCO Featured:
carlos rodon bobblehead foco.jpg
bottom of page