top of page
WilsonAffiliated.png
file.jpg

Perspectives: Winding Down the Season

Writer: Paul Semendinger
Paul Semendinger
Sep 22
4 min read

By Paul Semendinger

September 22, 2026

***

I know many want to blame the Yankees' second place finish on all the injuries, but in reality, the Yankees have underperformed their expected record (Pythagorean Record) at this point by three games.


Even with the injuries, the Yankees should have performed a little bit better.


Aaron Boone's Yankees have performed worse than their Pythagorean Record in each of the last three seasons and in four of the last five seasons.

***

The Yankees, with seven games remaining, have only 89 games.


Yes, they're better than most American League teams, but 89 wins on September 22 isn't great. It's a little bit better than pretty good - which is what the Yankees have been for far too long.

***


I have stated, for years, that it makes no sense to put players at physical risk for a tournament that forces them to ramp up before they're ready and to play extra games that could wear their bodies down before the season - or impact their health during the season.


I have been saying this ever since the invention of that tournament.


I never follow the WBC. I don't care about the WBC.


An argument can be made that without the WBC, the Pirates might have actually made it to the postseason this year.


I am certain that there are no Pirates fans or Pirates players that are glad Paul Skenes ramped up quickly to pitch in the WBC at the possible expense of the postseason this year.

***

There will be pundits that all clamor and state that baseball is in trouble because teams like the Pirates can't contend for the playoffs.


That might be true in some years, but in 2026, a big reason why the Pirates didn't compete is because their ace pitcher feels he was compromised because he played in a tournament before the season began.


This was a self-inflected wound that baseball did to itself.

***

I am happy that George Lombard, Jr. is performing well again, but his OPS+ is still well below league average. It's only 87 which is basically the same as Anthony Volpe's (86).


No manager of a contending team would want a player with an 87 OPS+ batting fifth in his lineup. That is simply obvious on its face.

***

In 2021, the Yankees had a player who had an OPS+ for the season that was 93 and no one wanted him anywhere near the starting lineup, let along batting in the heart of the order.


That player though had a better track record than Lombard. He also had a higher On Base Percentage and a higher Slugging Percentage than Lombard does.


That player's name was Joey Gallo.


This might put Lombard's 87 OPS+ into some perspective.


Of course, the big difference is that Lombard has a future and Gallo didn't any longer. But that's a conversation for another day. This isn't about what Lombard might do. It's about what he is doing - and what was the best approach to acclimate him to the big leagues.


Based just on his performance, both in the minor leagues and the Major Leagues, Lombard shouldn't be batting in the middle of the order.


Everyone knows this logically.

***

All Yankees fans wish Austin Wells was doing better. He did well enough in August batting .246. But in September, he's down to .209.


The following are Wells' batting averages by season across his career:

2024 - .229

2025 - .219

2026 - .186 (to date)


This is a problem .


I know many people want to make excuses for Wells. We have heard the "He is injured" excuse for at least two seasons, but, when he hit in August, everyone was saying, "See, he's healthy." Is his .209 September batting average because he's hurt again - or somewhere in this is Austin Wells demonstrating that he simply isn't a quality big league hitter?


For his career, now 379 games, Austin Wells' OPS+ is 91.


At some point the numbers tell who the player is.

***

The Yankees have a fighter's chance of reaching the World Series. The Yankees are certainly flawed and are much weaker without Aaron Judge, but they have a strong starting rotation that could, and should, carry them through the playoffs.


Until the Yankees reach the World Series, the competition to reach the World Series is simply not impressive - at all, excepting the Tampa Bay Rays. Anything less than an ALCS vs. the Rays must be seen as a failure by this club.

***

Speaking of fighters, I heard a trivia question that read, "Who was the only fighter to defeat Muhammad Ali by knockout?"


I went through his losses in my head thinking, "I never saw him knocked out."


Joe Frazier didn't knock out Ali.

Leon Spinks did not.

Trevor Berbick didn't


I knew Larry Holmes beat Ali, but I didn't remember it as a knockout.


And then there was Ken Norton. He also didn't knock out Ali.


The answer was Larry Holmes, but it wasn't a knockout. They scored it a TKO, but in reality, Ali finished the round, sat on this stool, and his trainer, Angelo Dundee, called it off.

***

To all in the media (bloggers, sportscasters, announcers, writers, columnists, podcasters, and the rest) - Thank you for visiting Start Spreading The News. We appreciate that you come here for great Yankees coverage and original (and excellent) writing. If you are going to use or borrow our content, please give credit to the writer and the site. It is only right to do so. Thank you.




10 Comments


Alan B.
Alan B.
Sep 22

I am so sick of this discussion. Now, it's about Austin Wells. In the past it's been about Anthony Volpe, Ryan McMahon, any kid they called up that failed.


I'm just going back to to the complete Analytical Takeover, which coincides (hahah) with the Aaron Boone Managerial Era. Since then, the Yankees have had 3 full time Hitting Coaches plus Sean Casey. Why is it always the players fault? Are all these coaches that Cashman hire THAT incompetent? Or are all these coaches stuck coaching the way the Cashman wants them to coach?


David Cone took himself out of the running to replace Larry Rothschild as the PC, because he was told if a decision comes down to what his…


Edited
Like

Andy Singer
Andy Singer
Sep 22

Austin Wells only has a .209 batting average in September. He also has a .358 OBP and a .419 SLG (good for a .210 ISO), which adds up to a .777 OPS, which is well above league average this year.


Take it back to July 19th through today (the date I've been bringing it back to when I write about Wells), and that triple slash looks like .235/.346/.432, which is remarkably similar to the triple slash I predicted for Wells before the season began.


Is that star production? No, but I don't think any of us predicted that Wells would be a star. That offensive performance combined with his stellar defense makes him an excellent starting catcher. What he desperat…


Like
Paul Semendinger
Paul Semendinger
Sep 22
Replying to

We agree there. This is again, a poor job by Cashman.


Everyone in the world, even people that don't follow baseball, knew the Yankees needed a right-handed hitting catcher.

Like

Robert Malchman
Robert Malchman
Sep 22

Of course Lombard batting 5th is undesirable, but what were the alternatives? The only times Lombard has batted 5th is when Judge was not in the lineup. Before Saturday, the last time was he batted 5th was August 27. On Saturday, the alternatives were Volpe, Caballero, Wells and McMahon (and note Ramos was batting clean-up against a righty!). Sunday, I suppose Jones (in the lineup instead of McMahon) could have hit 5th and Lombard 6th, but then you have double lefties followed by double righties. Because Judge, Chisholm and Grisham are all out, you have nothing but 7th place hitters (or worse) available to bat 5th.


Like
fuster
Sep 22
Replying to

A smart team does not place a raw rookie, just 21-years-old, in the middle of the lineup in a pannant chase


that's clearly an excellent general rule, both wise and pragmatic.

anyone who would seek to point out that Lombard is not a particularly "raw" rookie, having been raised by a baseball lifer of a dad, is just making excuses for a Yankee team

that is prone to engaging in the sort of shortsighted behavior that comes from placing team needs of the moment ahead of longer-term interests.

Like
dr sem.png

Start Spreading the News is the place for some of the very best analysis and insight focusing primarily on the New York Yankees.

​

(Please note that we are not affiliated with the Yankees and that the news, perspectives, and ideas are entirely our own.)

blog+image+2.jpeg

Have a question for the Weekly Mailbag?

Click below or e-mail:

SSTNReaderMail@gmail.com

SSTN is proudly affiliated with Wilson Sporting Goods! Check out our press release here, and support us by using the affiliate links below:

587611.jpg
583250.jpg
Scattering the Ashes.jpeg

"Scattering The Ashes has all the feels. Paul Russell Semendinger's debut novel taps into every emotion. You'll laugh. You'll cry. You'll reexamine those relationships that give your life meaning." — Don Burke, writer at The New York Post

The Least Among Them.png

"This charming and meticulously researched book will remind you of baseball’s power to change and enrich lives far beyond the diamond."

—Jonathan Eig, New York Times best-selling author of Luckiest Man, Opening Day, and Ali: A Life

From Compton to the Bronx.jpg

"A young man from Compton rises to the highest levels of baseball greatness.

​

Considered one of the classiest baseball players ever, this is Roy White's story, but it's also the story of a unique period in baseball history when the Yankees fell from grace and regained glory and the country dealt with societal changes in many ways."

foco-yankees.png

We are excited to announce our new sponsorship with FOCO for all officially licensed goods!

FOCO Featured:
carlos rodon bobblehead foco.jpg
bottom of page