top of page
WilsonAffiliated.png
file.jpg
  • Writer's picturePaul Semendinger

Soto and Harper

by Paul Semendinger

October 14, 2023

***

In 2019, the Yankees made a colossal mistake by failing to sign Bryce Harper.


There is word that Juan Soto could be available this offseason by trade. If he's not extended, he will be a free agent next year. The Yankees, absolutely, 100%, have to be all-in on Juan Soto whether they get him by trade this year (and then give him an extension) or by signing him after next season if he reaches free agency.


Juan Soto fills many needs.


He is a lefty power bat (averaging 33 home runs over 162 games).


He is an on-base machine (leads all of active MLB in OBP).


He hits for a high batting average (.290+ three times, .300+ two times).


He is young. He will be in his age-25 season next year, his seventh big league season. At the age when many prospects are just starting, he's already a seasoned and proven veteran.


He is durable (averaging over 150 games played every year).


I believe his star will shine even brighter in New York. He is THE player the Yankees need to get.


The Yankees passed on Bryce Harper. In many ways, Juan Soto is as good, or better, than Bryce Harper was after six seasons. Take a look:


Through 6 Seasons:


Games: Soto 779, Harper 768

Hits: Soto 768, Harper 785

Runs: Soto 527,Harper 507

Doubles: Soto 148, Harper 149

Triples: Soto 11, Harper 18

Home Runs: Soto 160, Harper 150

RBI: Soto 483, Harper 421

Batting Average: Soto .284, Harper .285

On-Base Percentage: Soto .421, Harper .386

Slugging Percentage: Soto .524, Harper ..515

OPS: Soto .946, Harper .902

OPS+: Soto 157, Harper 140

WAR: Soto 28.7, 26.0


Juan Soto is a once-in-a-generation type player. (To be fair, there are usually a few once-in-a-generation players playing at any time, but he's in that rare group of young superstars. Might Ronald Acuna be better? Sure. But Acuna is not available. Was Mike Trout better than Bryce Harper? Yes, but Mike Trout wasn't available. The general point stands.)


Juan Soto is a player who the Yankees have to pull out all stops to acquire. To me, this isn't even a question, at all. For the Yankees to get back to being the Yankees, they have to play big. Getting Juan Soto is playing big. He will still be in his prime when Aaron Judge starts his decline. If it takes a few years for the Yankees to get back, time is still on Juan Soto's side.


To be clear, Juan Soto will not solve all of the Yankees' problems and needs, but he will go a long way to making the Yankees better in 2024 and for the next decade after.

19 Comments


fuster
Oct 15, 2023

and you continue to pound Soto's prewess with the bat and ignore his failure to thrive as an outfielder.


not a question as to whether Soto can and does hit excellently and consistently excellently.


not a question about whether he has and will provide more offense than Bellinger


the questions are about


1) why Soto fails to field well.

2) the cost of acquiring one season of Soto's service....and then the cost of securing additional seasons


my contentions ARE that


1) Soto is worth less than Ohtani and will cost more than Ohtani, but that if Ohtani is not obtained, Soto is a good second prize


2) Bellinger is not as valuable a hitter as Soto, but is far more…


Like
Paul Semendinger
Paul Semendinger
Oct 16, 2023
Replying to

I agree. All Ohtani is right now is a DH.

Like

Brad Scheller
Brad Scheller
Oct 15, 2023

To think, the 2018 Nats had Bryce Harper, Juan Soto, and Trea Turner....

Like
Paul Semendinger
Paul Semendinger
Oct 15, 2023
Replying to

What could have been...


Like

Paul Semendinger
Paul Semendinger
Oct 14, 2023

Thanks for the comments... sorry I didn't respond, yet. I was at a wonderful celebration for Tim Kabel who recently got married.


CONGRATULATIONS TIM!

Like

sfs1944
Oct 14, 2023

Paul we all should be able to agree that the Yanks spend money just on the wrong players. What that tells me is that the input they are getting from these so called experts is not worth it. Hal and Cashman are either not listening or the baseball people like those 2 recently Signed GM ‘S are just plain stupid . I vote for the former. Unless Hal changes his ways theYanks are doomed to be mediocre. I have stated before that SOTO is a terrific generational ballplayers and Cashman should be calling the Padres every day and convince them that they should trade SOTO to them. Persistence pays off . They give the prospects they want. Their Only reques…

Like
Paul Semendinger
Paul Semendinger
Oct 14, 2023
Replying to

Right on. I agree with much of this. I don't think we'll see empty seats for a while - maybe 2025 if 2024 is a disaster.


I'm not as high on Bellinger. But I do want Soto, with the long term extension.

Like

Alan B.
Alan B.
Oct 14, 2023

We all know why the Yankees didn't go after Harper (or Machado). So, any other comparisons, or debates or what should've been with Harper is just stupid & pointless in my honest opinion.

Like
Paul Semendinger
Paul Semendinger
Oct 14, 2023
Replying to

Alan,

Thanks for the feedback, but with all due respect, if you don't care for an article's topic, don't read it. I love that you visit and comment every day, but we make our decisions on what to write about and provide that content to our readers. You might not agree, and that's fine. I believe this is a subject worth discussing. I don't know of any other place where anyone compared Soto to Harper looking at their first six seasons. Only we did that. It's good material, in my honest opinion.

Like
dr sem.png

Start Spreading the News is the place for some of the very best analysis and insight focusing primarily on the New York Yankees.

(Please note that we are not affiliated with the Yankees and that the news, perspectives, and ideas are entirely our own.)

blog+image+2.jpeg

Have a question for the Weekly Mailbag?

Click below or e-mail:

SSTNReaderMail@gmail.com

SSTN is proudly affiliated with Wilson Sporting Goods! Check out our press release here, and support us by using the affiliate links below:

587611.jpg
583250.jpg
Scattering the Ashes.jpeg

"Scattering The Ashes has all the feels. Paul Russell Semendinger's debut novel taps into every emotion. You'll laugh. You'll cry. You'll reexamine those relationships that give your life meaning." — Don Burke, writer at The New York Post

The Least Among Them.png

"This charming and meticulously researched book will remind you of baseball’s power to change and enrich lives far beyond the diamond."

—Jonathan Eig, New York Times best-selling author of Luckiest Man, Opening Day, and Ali: A Life

From Compton to the Bronx.jpg

"A young man from Compton rises to the highest levels of baseball greatness.

Considered one of the classiest baseball players ever, this is Roy White's story, but it's also the story of a unique period in baseball history when the Yankees fell from grace and regained glory and the country dealt with societal changes in many ways."

foco-yankees.png

We are excited to announce our new sponsorship with FOCO for all officially licensed goods!

FOCO Featured:
carlos rodon bobblehead foco.jpg
bottom of page