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Writer's picturePaul Semendinger

Wednesday Discussion: Pitcher Predictions

by SSTN Admin

March 22, 2023

***

This week we asked our writers to make their predictions for the Yankees pitchers using the good old stats of Wins, Losses, ERA, and for relief pitchers, Saves, and Games Pitched.

Here are their replies:


(We will revisit this article in October!)

*** Mike Whiteman:


Gerrit Cole - 19-6, 2.56, AL Cy Young Award

Carlos Rodon - 10-4, 2.75

Luis Severino - 12-7, 3.44

Nestor Cortes - 12-8, 3.68

Clarke Schmidt - 11-5, 3.36

Domingo German - 8-6, 4.02


Mike King - 1.87, 32 saves

Clay Holmes - 3.29, 10 saves

Wandy Peralta - 2.65

Jonathan Loaisiga - 2.88

Ron Marinaccio - 1.98


***

Paul Semendinger:


Gerrit Cole - 14-11, 3.44

Carlos Rodon - 15-8, 3.57

Luis Severino - 10-4, 2.99

Nestor Cortes - 13-8, 3.45

Clarke Schmidt - 5-11, 4.87

Domingo German - 9-4, 4.02


Clay Holmes - 4-1, 29 saves, 2.50

Michael King - 3-3, 12 saves, 2.33

Wandy Peralta - 3.76

Jonathan Loaisiga - 4.34

Ron Marinaccio - 3.99


***

James Vlietstra:


Cole 15-9, 3.60 ERA, 32 G, 185 IP, 235 K 2.6 WAR

Rodon 16-7, 3.30 ERA, 27 G, 160 IP, 175 K 2.8 WAR

Severino 17-5, 2.90 ERA, 29 G, 180 IP, 190 K, 4.4 WAR

Cortes 14-7, 3.20 ERA, 30 G, 170 IP, 175 K3.7 WAR

Schmidt 8-4, 3.60 ERA, 40 G (18 GS), 100 IP, 105 K, 2.2 WAR

German 6-6, 4.20 ERA, 22 G, 105 IP, 95 K 1.8 WAR


Holmes 6-2, 2.80 ERA, 55 G, 60 IP, 70 K, 2.4 WAR, 25 s

Loasiga 5-4, 3.70 ERA, 52 G, 50 IP, 50 K, 1.7 WAR, 5 s

King 8-3, 2.10 ERA, 45 G, 55 IP, 65 K, 2.7 WAR, 4 s

Kahnle 4-1, 3.50 ERA, 60 G, 50 IP, 60 K, 1.5 WAR, 2 s

Peralta 2-5, 3.80 ERA, 55 G, 55 IP, 50 K, 1.1 WAR, 2 s

Marinaccio 7-2, 2-20 ERA, 60 G, 65 IP, 75 K, 2.9 WAR, 3 s


***

Derek McAdam:


Gerrit Cole: 15-9, 3.52, 211 ip

Carlos Rodon: 9-7, 3.84, 155 ip

Nestor Cortes: 12-8, 3.26, 180 ip

Luis Severino: 5-5, 4.53, 110 ip

Domingo German: 8-6, 4.24, 135 ip

Clarke Schmidt: 2-5, 5.02, 105 ip


Clay Holmes: 5-6, 38 saves, 57 games, 67 ip

Michael King: 4-2, 50 games, 56 ip

Wandy Peralta: 7-4, 60 games, 75 ip

Ron Marinaccio: 3-0, 53 games, 60 ip

Jonathan Loaisiga: 2-2, 58 games, 64 ip

***

Andy Singer:

Because I can't help but be a little contrary, I don't include pitcher wins/losses in my predictions, but I have plenty of other predictions:


Gerrit Cole - 33 GS, 205 IP, 3.40 ERA, 12 K/9, 2 BB/9, 4.3 bWAR

Carlos Rodon - 25 GS, 145 IP, 2.75 ERA, 12.3 K/9, 3 BB/9, 3.7 bWAR

Nestor Cortes Jr. - 30 GS, 170 IP, 2.85 ERA, 8.8 K/9, 2.4 BB/9, 4.0 bWAR

Luis Severino - 30 GS, 175 IP, 3.10 ERA, 10.5 K/9, 2.4 BB/9, 4.5 bWAR

Domingo German - 10 GS, 20 GP, 90 IP, 4.25 ERA, 7 K/9, 3.3 BB/9, 0.8 bWAR

Clarke Schmidt - 10 GS, 35 GP, 105 IP, 3.65 ERA, 9.2 K/9, 3.1 BB/9, 1.7 bWAR

Jhony Brito - 6 GS, 45 IP, 4.10 ERA, 6.7 K/9, 1.8 BB/9, 0.8 bWAR

Frankie Montas - 3 GS, 15 IP, 4.95 ERA, 9 K/9, 4.5 BB/9, 0 bWAR


Clay Holmes - 65 GP, 70 IP, 2.65 ERA, 37 Saves, 9 K/9, 2.7 BB/9, 1.8 bWAR

Mike King - 55 GP, 92 IP, 1.95 ERA, 5 Saves, 10.7 K/9, 2.6 BB/9, 3.1 bWAR

Jonathan Loaisiga - 50 GP, 68 IP, 2.45 ERA, 1 Save, 8.6 K/9, 3.5 BB/9, 1.1 bWAR

Tommy Kahnle - 30 GP, 35 IP, 1.75 ERA, 2 Saves, 10 K/9, 3.9 BB/9, 0.7 bWAR

Ron Marinaccio - 50 GP, 55 IP, 2.25 ERA, 1 Save, 11 K/9, 4.2 BB/9, 1.0 bWAR

Wandy Peralta - 55 GP, 56 IP, 3.35 ERA, 1 Save, 7.6 K/9, 2.8 BB/9, 0.6 bWAR

Matt Krook - 25 GP, 35 IP, 3.75 ERA, 0 Saves, 11.5 K/9, 4.1 BB/9, 0.4 bWAR

Jimmy Cordero - 15 GP, 18 IP, 4.10 ERA, 0 Saves, 11 K/9, 5.1 BB/9, 0.2 bWAR







3 comments

3 Comments


yankeerudy
Mar 22, 2023

Wow, James has them down for 108 wins this season.

Like
bbcfan64
Mar 22, 2023
Replying to

I didn’t actually add them up or anything but I would take the over on 98.5 so I will stick with it. if anything some of the starters won’t go enough innings thats why the relievers get vulture wins

Like

fuster
Mar 22, 2023

I like Paul's prediction


although I think that he's likely to be wrong about Schmidt


added up, Paul assigns responsibility for 52 losses to the pitching staff

but that's a bit pessimistic


does anyone REALLY think that the Yankees are gonna lose more than 7 or 8 games this season?


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